My Side of the Fence

The danger isn't going too far. It's that we don't go far enough.

Page 58 of 403

Three quick hits

I've gotten a couple of emails and in-person questions on the following.  I've written about one of these before but it would appear there is some interest in the subjects. Here ya go:

1. What's the deal with the 5-year forecast? Why is it $800k in the red? The Council has approved a 5-year forecast that does include an unbalanced projection for next year. I voted against that forecast as I thought the policy body should do more work in advance of sending the document to staff. That amount is somewhere north of $800,000. The big driver in that number is increasing jail expenses. Well, jail expenses have been going up for several years but we've been paying for it out of year end funds.  It needs to be in operating. It isn't a one time cost. The increase is due to somewhat more aggressive enforcement. When you want to "clean things up", you're going to end up arresting more folks as tolerance decreases.  We'll have to figure it out.

2. The City is trying to regulate abortion clinics? A member of Council, Mr. Aveni, asked if the Council would entertain a debate on enacting a Fairfax City zoning ordinance that requires a Special Use Permit for most medical offices. I haven't read all of the particulars in that law so I don't know much about it. I expect the land use committee will take this up in January. Just to be clear, it would have no affect upon existing facilities. Those just become "lawful non-conforming".

3. How's the new City Manager? He's good! I think the Council is getting what we thought we were going to get. That's a good thing. This isn't his fault but I'm a bit frustrated that the Council hasn't had a session to go through our strategic plan and share our thoughts on that but I'm hopeful that this meeting will be scheduled in the not too distant future. We need to do this before the budget gets rolling in earnest.

Have a nice Thanksgiving.

Election Takeaways

Allow me to put the lie to one of the greatest TeeVee debates of the past 20 years:  America is not divided "right down the middle".  That's idiotic.  AHH!! elections are closer than ever, the electorate is divided between tobacco-chewing hillbillies and the fancy-pants college educated intelligentsia!  Never the twain shall meet!  Hoarders, Preppers, Tweakers, Perverts, (whatever your thing is): the end is nigh for our democracy!

Bull.  You wanna know what the real problem is?  Lousy political parties.  I know, you're saying "wait, what?  I thought it was the natural devolution of a post-industrial society"?  Well, you're wrong.  Round up a couple of working brain cells, a couple fingers of scotch and follow along:

Here is the job of a political party: cultivate, nurture and support viable, qualified leadership for their community, state or nation.  

That's it.

Now, it is a big job and, regardless of whether the parties understand it, when they're winning elections, this is what they're doing.  And when they're doing that their communities are successful because they are united.  Please note that this does not pre-judge the ideology of said candidate.  It's whomever best fits the electorate.  Green candidate, Tea party, centrist, whatever.

When the parties aren't performing this essential function is when things go wrong.  Our recent electoral contest in Virginia is an example of both parties doing a crappy job on pretty much the entire ticket.  A far left vs. far right candidate, neither of whom had the credentials to operate in the middle of their party let alone the larger electorate.  Broken parties produce lousy candidates and lack the resources to support them.  Properly run parties produce candidates that unify the party.  The importance of that cannot be overstated because any political party or faction thereof requires 2 things to be viable:

1.  Electoral victories

2.  Legislative victories

You can have #1 and not #2 but it isn't worth a warm bowl of spit.  You can't have either of those if you aren't doing job one.  Yeah, you might find some exceptions – "wave" elections but many of those folks are wiped out in the next general.  You have to have qualified candidates.

I know, I know: it's starting to dawn on you that I'm talking about "The Establishment".  Yessss…the Establishment.  Drink deep of that kool-aid.  Everyone hates the establishment – it's full of money-men, n'er do wells and deviants but it turns out that unless you have someone to vet and support your candidates you get your ass kicked in the general election.

At this point, you might be asking: well what about the "Base" that the establishment loves to hate?  Can't the "base" just turn out and carry the election?  To which I reply: what's the name of our next governor?  If you're going to run and win, you need the middle…even if just by a little!

The only corollary I would offer is that all of this is less true in the gerrymandered districts that most of our representatives enjoy.  However, for those that run "at large" it is absolutely true.

 

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