It’s a good day to die.

Posted on June 16, 2013 by andy

My time of death would have been 9:26am, June 16th 2013.  To be fair it would have been a nice day to die.  The sun was shining, the birds were singing and I was doing my second favorite thing in the world: cycling.  Another positive aspect: my death would have been sudden and painless. 

See, I was out training for Bike Virginia.  The fam was staying at Shrine Mont, the Episcopal Church retreat near Bryce Resort and I took the opportunity to get up early and ride some in the mountains.  Some cyclists seek flatter ground and, to be sure, the flat places of the world are easier to ride but you get to know yourself when the highway heads up.  You fight the Man with the Hammer in the higher places of the world.  Maybe it's a mental defect but I love it.  Setting a cadence and gear I can push endlessly up that hill.

On this particular morning I was rolling down a hill at about 40mph – a long, flowing, sweepy decent that I had earned.  The climb up the previous side of this hill was pretty grueling so I was enjoying the payoff.  As I was descending I noticed that the upcoming intersection was oddly shaped.  It looked like a "Y" and I was going from bottom to top of that Y.  My road bent to the right – it was a continuation of the road I was on but there was a stop sign on the right.  I thought, "whatever, I don't have a stop sign and I'm going right".  The stop sign, even though it wasn't for me, was important.

At that stop sign I spied a guy in "dualie".  With a giant trailer.  "Cripes", I thought.  I'll be lucky to survive if this yokel decides to turn now and squeezes the turn with that trailer.  I pointed to the right to indicate to him that I intended to turn at the intersection.  He smiled and nodded his head…..right at the end of that nod his face changed slightly.  He made an urgent gesture that looked somewhat like he was trying to "push me away".  It took me a split second to understand that he was warning me.  I wasn't sure of what, there was no problem or danger I could discern.  I was traveling at a high speed but the intersection looked clean – no skratch or debris….at the last second before entering my turn it occurred to me that there was one hazard I hadn't thought of: there was a car somewhere beyond the trailer that wasn't where it should be.  I tightened my turn to the point where the bike was right on the razor's edge of a wipe out that would have exposed by pasty white ass to the tarmac in a most unfriendly way….:)

That maneuver, and the truckers warning saved my life this morning.  There was a car coming around the truck at the intersection – at speed.  He was running the stop sign and there was nowhere for me to go: both lanes were occupied.  One with a parked truck and the other with a moving car.  I'm writing this so you know how it ended but only because of that drivers warning and my last-ditch move.  That idiot missed me by about a foot.  He was shocked and scared, he thought I was hitting his car.  His wife was screaming.  They were both convinced they were about to be part of something terrible.  Fortunately they weren't.

Unlike the trash truck incident, there was no question as to what would have happened if that car hit me.  It would have been a combined impact speed of above 60mph.  Fatal, for me anyway.  After pulling over to ensure that everything was still where it should be, I continued.  I try to be philosophical about these things.  I do not now nor have I ever believed that things happen for any particular reason.  As my tour guide in Puerto Rico put it: "people that believe that everything happens for a reason are just along for the ride, don't believe that".  I don't.  However, it is hard to escape the fact that I skipped church to go on that ride.  I don't know if there was a reason involved this morning but I think it reasonable to infer some guidance……and I'll also not pre-judge my dualie driving brethren again….:)

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Other Stuff

Posted on May 24, 2013 by andy

Yes, there is life outside of City Council chambers.  In the political world, the VA Republicans have selected a Mr. Jackson as our Lt. Gov candidate and Mr. Obenshein as our AG.  The candidate for Governor was never an issue.  Those of you who thought the Republican party in VA needed to moderate in order to remain viable, well, you're out of luck.  Indeed, we appear to have doubled-down on social issues.  All 3 are staunch social conservatives and Mr. Jackson has a way of articulating his social stands that make the life of democratic ad maker easy even if his stand on issues is the same as the other two.  Mr. Obenshein appears to have introduced a bill requring women to report miscarriages to police.  I dont think it's an exceptionally strong ticket.  

It's early but none of them is really running *for* anything.  I've seen longer "issues" pages for local races than Mr. Cuccinelli's issues page.  It's kinda sparse for the Governor's job.  The single biggest challenge for all 3 wil be to grasp the concept that there's far more to governance than abortion and "freedom" (well, freedom unless you have lady business – that needs to be watched with a sharp eye – its too dangerous to be left to the owner of said business).  Mr. Cuccinelli is starting to turn that corner but, if his issues page is any guide, seems to be struggling a bit – and it isn't going to get easier as the Democrats are not likely to leave those issues alone.  If our ticket gets around that bend and starts to execute on a broader agenda, we'll be fine and they might be able to bring a leadership role to Richmond.  If not, I don't think it bodes well for useful action in the GA but I'm happy to be wrong.

However, if I'm not wild about the republican nominees, the Democratic nominees are just head scratchers.  Democrats have been waiting for this moment for 4 years.  Salivating to run against Mr. Social Warrior himself – Ken Cuccinelli – and the best game they can bring is Terry McAuliffe?  T-Mac from the Bill Clinton era?  If I were a democrat (and at least some number of you out there are convinced I am), I'd be furious.  The machine that turned out Obama victories in republican districts two cycles in a row nominates a back bencher from the 90's?  A disaster.  If the Democrats select Sen. Northram for LG, that race might get interesting.  I want republicans to win but I also think it's healthy for our state to have a vigorous, tough election that forces leaderhip positions from the candidates on the sticky issues of the day.  We're all better for it and this ain't it.

A complete non-sequiter but what is with the weather?  I was wearing long pants and a sweatshirt on Sunday night.  I'm about a month behind in my preperations for a couple of cycling events this summer.  Pretty sure I'm going to bail on the Diabetes ride – I'm just not where I need to be and I'm sick of riding in the cold.  Saturday I did do about 20 miles in the rain but that was it.  The garden is still a shambles.  We haven't even cleared the tomato cages from last year.  Over the winter we had grand designs on building some raised beds and producing a bumper crop of veggies but that's gone by the wayside.  We'll be lucky to get some plants in the ground at all.  Today it's muggy but not hot…and it's going to rain some more.  Maybe I should plant rice?  The mosquitos are going to be aweful and the cicada are just getting started…It's going to be a heck of a summer!

Posted in Information Only | 15 Comments

C’est Fini

Posted on May 21, 2013 by andy

The budget is concluded.  The final compromise, detailed earlier, is what passed.  If you supported the CIP, et.al., you've likely moved on to the next thing, like making dinner.  If you opposed the plan, you're probably marking the calendar and plotting the political demise of those that supported the CIP and budget plan.  Those in the middle who supported the project nearest you but considered the balance of the CIP a luxury, well you're mad too…:)  It seems as though everyone was equally angry so it was probably the right deal.  The final two cent cut might leave us a bit of a hole to fill next year but we'll have to wait and see.

My hat is off to those citizens who attended some of the budget meetings.  I listen to everyone but the opinion of someone who has bothered to educate themselves on the budget and the process is especially interesting.  I chatted with many of you at length and, even if we didn't agree, I think we understood each other and there's a certain amount of respect developed.  It's also cool to think that some of those folks will get involved either as a volunteer or to run for office!

I'd also like to thank all of those who took the time to email or call.  Especially those who disagreed.  That feedback is important and it does make a difference.  Without feedback that final 2 cent cut doesn't happen.  While email is not quite the level of committee as dragging yourself to a meeting, it really does matter.  Especially now that we don't have a local newspaper.  For whatever it's worth, I think the feedback I received both via email, phone and public meetings was slightly in favor of the budget/cip.  It isn't black and white as some of the feedback supported this or that project but maybe not the whole thing.

Those of you who elected to insult Council members (or other members of the public) either at public hearings or via email, I'm at a loss as to what your strategy was.  I am President of an IT company, maybe you're a stay at home mom, a lawyer or a government employee but we are all just people.  Few people respond positively to insult.  Having a difference of opinion is fine but we should be able to maintain civility.

In any event, what's done is done and we're off to start building and fixing things.  I'm excited as I believe this will be the start of a new development/redevelopment cycle for Manassas.  We have the opportunity to pick a new City Manager soon and D-Mag is working hard on the schools side to get things squared away.  For the Council, I suspect the committees will be very busy this summer and we'll likely start the fall/late summer off with several days of interviews for the Manager position.  I'm also hopeful that the Central Office is torn down July first…:)  In the end, this is a CIP and budget that's all about growth and investment.  It's what Manassas needs.

Posted in City Council | 5 Comments

Where we are

Posted on May 10, 2013 by andy

There appears to be some confusion about where we our in our budgeting process so let me lay it all out.  In a "normal" year the Council would have about 15 meetings to go over the budget.  During these meetings, Council members can place items they have questions about or oppose on the "open items list".  This list also includes all additions to the budget as well as all tax rates and transfer to the schools.  This list is considered in what is usually the penultimate budget meeting called "mark up".  Whatever comes out of mark up is usually presented as the Council's budget at a public hearing.  The public hearing is followed by a budget work session, usually short, to consider public input.  Whatever comes out of that meeting is presented at "First reading" and is voted on.  This followed by "second reading" which is normally a formality.  So, it looks like this:

5-year forecast & guidance to staff (fall of previous year)
City Manager presents his budget
Public hearing (citizen's time too) on Manager's budget
15-ish budget meetings to review budget
Mark Up
Finance Chair normally presents Council budget
Public Hearing on Council budget
budget work session to consider
First reading
Second reading

So, the vote at the budget work session after the public hearing to forward the Council's budget to first reading was 4-2.  However, at the conclusion of this "final" work session, a couple of Council Members asked that members submit ideas for cutting the budget and requested an additional meeting.  This is most unusual (not bad, just unusual) as the work session after the public hearing is always the final budget meeting.

A few days later, the Mayor did call that meeting and from that meeting a compromise was reached that reduced the budget a further 2 cents on the operating side.  The result of that action was a ~$450,000 reduction in school spending (but they're still getting $1.3 million more than last year).  The real reduction to the schools is about ~$200k as they are getting about $250k more than they had budgeted.  The school folks were not pleased with this development but I have confidence that they will make it work.

On the City side, we deferred our economic development department for 6 months and eliminated one position from the City staff.  The deferral will happen without much fuss: we won't be hiring anyone for Economic Development until after we have a new Manager and that ain't happening until September, I would expect.  

The vote on this compromise was 4-2 with Mssrs. Aveni and Lovejoy voting no.  These actions bring the tax increase down to just over 7%.  That's still a lot but better than it was.  This compromise is what will be brought forth on Monday night for First Reading.  

My reflection on all of this is that the city would have been better served if Council would have provided guidance to staff on CIP spending in the five year forecast instead of just putting in $0. We told staff to prepare a CIP plan that fit their best judgement.  Some were surprised by the scope of the plan that emerged.  I'm not sure why.  Of course, I was in the minority on that vote so maybe I should re-examine my dissent….:)  In any event, the only problem that we might have (well, not the only one) is that by cutting the budget a bit we may have created a bit of a hole to be filled next year when we have to pay for the full year of those economic development staffers.  I believe that if the economy continues on its current modest path, we'll be fine.  If it doesn't, we'll have to take action.  That's the way it goes.

 

Posted in City Council | 7 Comments

Budget Status

Posted on April 15, 2013 by andy

 I've had a couple of questions about the budget and where we are with it.  Since we don't have a local paper anymore it seems as though this stuff has fallen through the cracks.  This article over at insidenova.com is pretty much the extent of the coverage but it does contain some errors.

Where we are is as follows:  The Council has completed it's budget creation/modification process.  That's about 15 meetings followed by a mark up session.  "Mark Up" is meeting where all of the "Open items" are considered.  The open items list consists of a couple of things: anything that is new in this budget, any items in the budget placed on the open items list by a Council member and all of the tax rates are also automatically on open items.  Each of the items on the list gets a roll call vote.  This vote is a "straw vote" and not binding but it is unusual for someone to change their vote.  As a practical matter it's pretty late in the game and you either support it or you don't.

This years Mark Up meeting went pretty smoothly considering the City Manager is leaving, our CFO is gone and our budget analyst had a family emergency at the last minute and couldn't make the meeting!  It wasn't a huge deal though as Council members are very familiar with the budget and, as others have pointed out, I have awesome math skills.  The main point of contention this year was the CIP.  In summary, we bounced the public safety building and one of the fire stations into future years.  We also eliminated several small neighborhood projects.  They're nice to have but we need to spend on money on higher priority projects.  As for the rest of the budget proposal, most of it was approved as well: all of the additions to City staff, most notably the creation of an Economic Development department, went through.  There was a fair amount of debate on the Fire/Rescue front on the increases to that fund.  I don't think that anyone is unhappy with the functioning of the Fire/Rescue system but it's been growing by leaps and bounds so I belive what you're seeing is a desire that the growth in that fund settle down some.  A small merit raise was also approved.

As for the tax rates, the Council voted unanimously to leave the tax rate at its current level.  We also voted unanimously to add 6.2 cents onto the existing rate for the CIP.  This was the front-loading strategy that raises more money up front which allows the City to combine bond funds with our capital cash on-hand to reduce the tax increase.  We can do this as we can avoid dedicating operating cash to debt service long enough that some existing debt will be paid off and we can use that free cash to help pay the bonds.  In the end it's finance, not math, and it saves our citizens money.  Now, if you opposed the CIP plan in its entirety, that probably doesn't mollify you but that's the way it went.

The transfer to the schools for both operating and capital funds was also approved unanimously.

The next step will be a public hearing a week from today.  After that, the Council will have a work session which will be followed by the public votes (at a regular Council meeting) on the budget. 

Posted in City Stuff | 6 Comments