My Side of the Fence

The danger isn't going too far. It's that we don't go far enough.

Page 80 of 403

The Election

I'm really late with this.  Wasn't going to publish it but I changed my mind……

Well, the election is over and Mr. Obama is getting a second term.  Congratulations to him, I hope he works with his partners in Congress to keep our country out of the ditch.  I've had folks ask me why I think he lost: did the Obama folks "micro-target" more effectively?  Was Mr. Romney unlikable? Wrong strategy?

I believe our downfall as republicans is rooted is 2 very important and distinct issues:

1: Mr. Romney needed to run as a businessman and "fixer" in order to win.  It's what he is and a successful candidate for any higher office has to run a campaign that is true to himself.  You might get away with that crap at the local level forever and at the state level for a couple of years but not in the big leagues.  His stump speech needed to be about a minute long:  "I'm a businessman and a capitalist.  I made a living fixing companies.  Sometimes there was some tough love involved but I'm a businessman.  I don't apologize for it.  I fixed the Olympics.  I was Governor of MA and worked with anyone I could to better my state.  I've done it before and I'll do it again."  That's it.  Mr. Romney isn't a wild-eyed pistol waver social conservative.  He's a businessman conservative.  Having to deal with "trans-vaginal ultrasounds", "rape is god's will" and that super genius who indicated that womens bodies can shut down conception in cases of rape was not productive.  You might dispute the individual incidents but the cumulative impact is hard to deny.  The insistence of our own General Assembly to introduce and pass the ultrasound bill most likely cost our Governor a serious shot at the VP slot.  I'm sure that as soon as the Romney campaign got a load of "conservatives" mandating internal ultrasounds they didn't just erase Bob's name, they cut it out of the page.  The Democrats (wisely, in their case) made electoral hay of this and turned it into a "War on Women".  Whether or not you believe that doesn't matter.  Plenty of women certainly did and the Democrats messaged on it constantly.  Ironically, this same issue also cost Mr. Romney votes on the far right social conservative side.  Pretty sure Mr. Romney's handling of those hot spots didn't lead them to conclude that their social conservative agenda was a priority of his – I know I wouldn't have if that was my priority.

2:  The GOP's got a serious demographic problem.  Immigration (of whatever form – right, wrong or indifferent) has changed the electoral landscape in many important swing states – including Virginia.  Mr. Romney didn't do real well with that segment.  He also didn't do very well with the lady-folk.  Neither is a huge shock: Mr. Romney took an early position on immigration that had something to do with "self-deportation" that didn't make much sense.  He then switched to a position in early October that seemed to say that he was going to continue the current policy but reform it in unspecified ways after elected.  So, the top of the ticket is dodging and the GOP at-large is mistrusted by Latino voters.  That can only end poorly.  Especially when you're running against a guy who is on the stump, banging the podium for equality and inclusion. 

Those two problems were external to the campaign but they did exert a strong influence.  Many point out that Romney was a deeply flawed candidate who couldn't draw the party together.  In that much I somewhat agree: I believe Mr. Romney had all of the right pieces to win but there was always that nagging suspicion that Romney was just telling you what you wanted to hear.  If you were outside that prime target funnel – a businessman conservative – you never quite believed what the Romney folks told you.  Many insist they would have had more regard for Mr. Romney had he just told them exactly what he thought and stood his ground.  While I think that's probably true on an individual basis I don't believe it in terms of the larger factions inside the republican party. 

Ironically, it probably didn't really matter who ran against Mr. Obama.  None of the candidates in the republican primary really had an over-arching agenda for America – or lacked one that appealed outside their base.  It was a wacky mix of SoCon orthodoxy, Tea partiers, strange businessmen and political has-beens.  So, failing that, your tact is to wallow in the mud with the incumbent and at that point, he's got you.  It's a battle of inches, not ideas. 

CIP Meeting

This was the scene at the CIP public meeting last night (thanks to Ian for the panoramic shot).  It's kind of a wierd perspective as I'm all the way over at the left in the picture but actually standing against the back wall – opposite of the stage and screen.  All told there were probably 50 citizens there who were not affialliated with any city institution: just folks.  There were an equal number of folks who were with the schools and/or the city.  Some of those school/city employees are citizens as well. I saw no media whatsoever.

So, my first impression of the "Joint CIP Process" is that it's moving along.  The city and school staff members are meeting weekly to come up with numbers, plans and priorities.  The City CIP is pretty well developed and defined.  I do get heartburn when staff parachute a $40 million dollar "Public Safety Building" into the budget with no warning at all – that doesn't strike me as planning – but the CIP is very well structured.  The schools CIP is not as well structured so we engaged in this process in order that everyone will understand what our collective needs are.  All of this money is really coming out of the same pot so it's best to plan this way.

Up to this point the process has really been inside of City Hall – staff meetings and Council briefings.  We have Public Hearings every year about the CIP but nobody ever comes so nobody knows what is in the CIP.  This is evidenced by the hullabloo we had over the Winter's Branch trail extension which has been routinely approved by Council (usually unanimously) for about the last dozen years.  This being the case, seeing all of this stuff dragged out into public in a very open and honest fashion is a bit disconcerting.  I know that it's an odd thing to say – it's the public's business so it shouldn't be disconcerting – but over the past 6 years the public has been so rarely involved (despite published notices, public hearings and stories in the media)  that when you do finally get a handful of citizens to show it feels a bit strange.  A bit like having your neighbors look in your trash can and then curiously eyeball your house with an arched eyebrow.  Again that seems a bit odd but I make no apologies for how it seems to me.  I've been hip-deep in it for 6 years now.

I thought the meeting went well – the staff presentations were well put together and the Superintendant did an acceptable job presenting her information.  I'll admit I was a bit confused by some of her information but it's only because I'm less familiar with their needs and estimates than I am the City ones.  The only part I thought was missing were some estimated costs for the big-ticket items.  After all, it's easy to support building a firing range, schools and public safety building until you get the estimate: $90 million for all three!!! 

So, even though I was a bit uncomfortable at first, I'm glad that we're having these meetings.  The citizens of Manassas have to pay for this stuff so they need to understand the requirements and then support it or not.  Manassas has significant needs in facilities and government.  An understanding of the costs will be important so that the citizens understand the magnitude of the requirements and that simply trimming this program or that program is not likely to save sufficient revenue to pay for these programs and buildings.  You could, for instance, close the museum, cut all funding to arts and non-profits and it wouldn't pay for more than 20% of any of these projects.  Frankly, I'm of the opinion that the government in Manassas is about as small as it can realistically get.  Some might take issue with that but the practical effect of having fewer staff is that the remaining folks end up doing their assigned duties less and less as they cover other functions.  You can still find this in our current government structure.  Some might say that this is great!  It shows our flexibility and for my part, I do agree that we're a small government and we need to be flexible.  However, from a management point of view I need to be confident that if we hire 4 zoning/building inspectors (for example) we are going to get that level of effort in the intended department, not covering something else. 

We need to be honest with ourselves when it comes to how we're going to pay for this stuff.  Does that mean the only way to get some of these new facilities is a tax increase?  No (and at the republican convention this winter it was made clear that the Republicans in Manassas will not support tax increases and will punish those who even consider them).  This being the case, we're going to need phase these projects over a pretty long term to take advantage of retireing debt service and we'll need major help from the economy.  Both of those are pretty normal for Capital projects but it needs to be understood that you won't see progress on most of these projects anytime soon.  We may also have to examine our existing budget for cuts in order to save enough money to pay for these projects – if we're to do them sooner than later.

This is going to be difficult!

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