My Side of the Fence

The danger isn't going too far. It's that we don't go far enough.

Page 194 of 403

When to Attend?

The budget takes the vast majority of the City Council’s time and calendar throughout the year.  Whether it is the budget process proper or the various Finance Committee meetings it sucks down the most time.  As Cindy indicated in a previous thread: “I’m listening, Rich. Just didn’t want to admit the last budget work session I went to I only lasted a few hours while everyone else went until 1 am.” it can be tough to stay involved throughout the entire process.  It’s tough for Council to do it but that’s part of it.

So, if a citizen has a limited amount of time but wants to find out what’s going on what should they do?  Well, my advice would be to look at two things: the forecast (which we’re talking about on Monday) and the Manager’s budget.  These two items will give you the most accurate indicator of what direction things are going.  The final Council budget typically looks a lot like those two documents and you’ll get a good snapshot of the situation without sitting into a meeting until 1:00am.  It is also best for Council to hear from our citizens early in the process.  If folks really believe we’re going down the wrong road, it’s easier to make significant changes in January than it is in April…

On a related note, some of my buddies who are more management-oriented chide me with “figuring out where to spend every cent isn’t leadership.  It’s management.” and they’re right.  I think all local government types struggle with staying out of the weeds.  Based on what I see I think more fail to stay out of the weeds (especially in smaller jurisdictions) and it hurts their locality.  Why hire a City Manager or County Exec if the elected body is going to be involved every minute?  Like most things, there is a fine balance.  However, If I don’t indicate how I think Manassas does, it’ll be the first question in the comments so I’ll say this about my own personal performance:  I think I wobble accross that line in both directions from time to time although rarely with much velocity.

And So It Begins

The kickoff of the budget season will begin next Monday, the 18th, at 5:30 in the second floor conference room.  This will be a work session on the 5-year forecast.  Work session means public meeting but no comment period.  A comment period at this point would be premature – we haven’t selected a forecast so there isn’t anything substantive to comment on!

The forecast is what we use to frame the budget discussions.  It doesn’t “set the tax rate” but it is pretty close as the forecast is what the City Manager uses to develop his budget.  The forecast is developed by creating a number of scenarios and the Council picks which one they want.  The scenarios that I’ve seen so far are “status quo” (which is always done) and also a “flat residential tax bill” scenario.  Early versions of the the flat tax bill scenario seem to  require cutting about $1.5 million from the budget.

That shortfall is significant as I suspect that we will have less money coming from the State as they continue to fix their budget.  The bulk of the rainy day fund has been spent and they can’t skip another retirement system payment so it looks to be tough in Richmond as well.  Based on past experience, that means less money for Police, Schools and Social Services.  The GA will also probably hold on to some of the revenue they normally pass through. 

On a side note: The scheme the Governor has cooked up to sell the ABC stores won’t hurt us this year but the most likely deal seems to be a stew of taxes on various and sundry alcohol-related commerce to make up about the same amount of money that we currently get from the ABC department.  It’s a future concern but what normally happens down the road is the state rolls back whatever payments it promised to localities.  Witness the 599 funds, road maintenance payments, car tax relief and communication tax (each of which is a great story btw)…

If you’re interested in any of this – schools, police, fire, general gov’t – you should be there. 

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