My Side of the Fence

The danger isn't going too far. It's that we don't go far enough.

Page 178 of 403

Real Estate Update

The Commissioner of Revenue provided his department’s annual report last night.  Overall, the price of local housing seems to have stabilized.  That’s good news.  Single family prices are essentially flat, town house has gone up about 4% and condo’s have gone down 5%.  Taken as a whole, pricing is up 3.1%.  Residential housing comprises 57% of the real estate tax base.  Foreclosures are down 60%. 

Business license revenue is down an average of 15%.  Revenue from the “hotel tax” is down 6%.  Hell, even the cigarette tax is down 5%.

Tucked in there is another interesting number: the average real estate bill (not the rate or assesment) is now the same as it was in 2006.  3 of the 4 years in between then and now have had non-zero increases in CPI so revenues to the City are decreasing but our costs (except labor) are generally increasing.

Taken as a whole, this is somewhat encouraging.  If we don’t get creamed too badly by the GA, we should be able to arrive at a budget in a reasonable fashion.  That, however, is not a given.  If the Governor and his allies are succesful in repealing the M&T tax (looks like HB 1636) and/or the BPOL tax (several) there will be a historic shift in tax burden to property owners – residential and commercial.  We’ll need to watch our local representatives to see how they vote.

UPDATE:  Here’s a link to the “Budget in Brief” that the manager puts out.  Tells you where your tax money goes at a high level.

Gang Prevention Summit

Burns points out that I’ve neglected to mention that there will be a Gang Prevention Summit held at the Boys & Girls club on January 17th.  The Agenda (so far) is here.  This issue, and others like it, will take some time to solve so this won’t be a one and done kinda deal and this seems like a good place to start.  There has been some consternation out there (justified in my view) that this has turned into some sort of love-in.  I hope that the updated agenda has allieviated some of these concerns. 

A final and more detailed agenda will be released tomorrow.  I’ll post it then.

Here’s the latest agenda:

6:00 p.m.          Welcome, introductions (Mr. Lawrence D. Hughes, City Manager)

6:05 p.m.          Agenda overview and goal/purpose of summit (Chief Doug Keen)

6:20-6:30           Northern Va. Gang Task Force history and summary (Director Ray Colgan)

6:30- 7:00          NVGTF Operations overview, including recognition/response (Lt. Dan Hess)

7:00- 7:20          NVGTF GRIT (prevention) overview (Mr. Rick Buchholz)

7:30-8:00-          Limited Q and A session

Thanks for the reminder DB.

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